Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 10.247095 11.344694 12.522959 13.883955 15.415253 17.087809 19.056890
2025-09-21 8.313739 9.779698 11.465014 13.554214 16.086099 19.069572 22.872588
2025-09-28 7.039264 8.709282 10.742794 13.420147 16.880405 21.239519 27.206580
2025-10-05 6.331446 8.187631 10.565330 13.869056 18.395235 24.458485 33.330489
2025-10-12 5.760403 7.741593 10.394658 14.261388 19.843771 27.752060 40.059464
2025-10-19 5.202095 7.227780 10.047129 14.332296 20.813338 30.468004 46.361583
2025-10-26 4.689605 6.708295 9.614895 14.200414 21.431178 32.704908 52.246577
2025-11-02 4.246766 6.234883 9.185915 14.001119 21.888702 34.713919 58.040806
2025-11-09 3.862944 5.806090 8.771028 13.760168 22.224236 36.534444 63.766052
2025-11-16 3.548497 5.450618 8.428278 13.585231 22.627933 38.494241 70.027472
2025-11-23 3.294186 5.164441 8.163865 13.502616 23.164854 40.735901 77.167284
2025-11-30 3.142182 5.028453 8.128310 13.801397 24.406443 44.417411 87.779497
2025-12-07 2.924743 4.769540 7.870079 13.692386 24.909749 46.823398 96.339740
2025-12-14 2.701305 4.481781 7.536514 13.410746 25.049848 48.537908 103.754850
2025-12-21 2.527848 4.265858 7.309069 13.300990 25.510746 50.969690 113.277814
2025-12-28 2.452029 4.215836 7.374271 13.757948 27.179081 56.211953 130.589205
2026-01-04 2.372915 4.152488 7.407743 14.153636 28.769164 61.532953 149.311382
2026-01-11 2.259405 4.015904 7.290050 14.227651 29.668546 65.413311 165.164655
2026-01-18 2.131720 3.842458 7.085999 14.098820 30.095200 68.235837 178.775489
2026-01-25 2.007453 3.666133 6.861415 13.902169 30.339336 70.647316 191.784049
2026-02-01 1.889145 3.492774 6.628669 13.663685 30.453947 72.749221 204.385497
2026-02-08 1.787012 3.344082 6.434170 13.490420 30.704407 75.246451 218.847171
2026-02-15 1.701597 3.222834 6.286661 13.408608 31.171218 78.401958 236.262274